Wednesday, September 16, 2020

 48 days until the November 3 presidential election and I have some concerns.

The problem as I see it will be the eruption of organized violence against expectations of normality. It isn't difficult to imagine mayhem beyond the capacities of police and national guard units to contain. Individual acts with fatal intent continue to pop up  around the country and are routinely noted in the media. That's bad enough but more to my point are the emergences of armed militia groups and what amount to mercenary armies being contemplated in the hard right. Sabotage by domestic terrorists is certainly on the menu. Military bases may not easily be compromised but large civilian urban areas are in jeopardy and the collapse of federal order - the attempted extinction of the American rule of law - is all too apparent and all the more significant in the midst of environmental disasters beyond human control.

An orderly process in the context of the November 3 election and its aftermath seems unlikely given the furious Republican attempts to disrupt and denigrate our national electorate and to crash through the necessary preparations for transition from the current mess to something de facto capable of governing wisely and adequately for the next few months. I do expect that the new Senate will dismiss the filibuster as a matter of governance necessity. The low population States won't have the votes to stop this from happening and the Democratic majority in the House will increase with deliberate intentions regarding the Trump cabal at the national level.

And it wants a Democrat regime and cadre in the Executive Branch. If McConnell et al. dare to tinker with the composition of the Supreme Court, there are institutional remedies that can be brought to bear. You will surely have noticed how Trump appointees to the appellate courts have been showing their political muscle but are being legally emasculated by rulings en banc and Supreme Court reversals. This will drag on for a long time, well past the beginnings of the next administration. I have no doubt that the people around Biden have understood this conflict and won't be caught unaware.

I watched a couple of lengthy discussions yesterday and one of particular note featured Beto O'Rouke and his entourage who seek to achieve a Democratic majority in the Texas House of Representatives (they are nine votes shy of this). This contemplates the oncoming mechanics of adding additional congressional seats and orderly redistricting despite truly odorous Republican leadership in the Texas state-level offices. A similar ground game is transpiring in Georgia. Florida remains an expensive battleground where a Latino strategist estimates it will take $60-$70 million of Bloomberg's $100 million just to penetrate that potential target market.

Trump's callous indifference to the pandemic exposure generated by his rally in Nevada is also noteworthy. The man has no conscience. He dismisses the wildfires in California by suggesting that they will just cool down in due course. Hurricane and related damage in the Gulf states and along the eastern seaboard will not be so easily set aside by a FEMA whose resources have been raided via partisan political intent. As also attempts to manipulate the purposes of the CDC and the USPS. These spurious activities impact voter intent whatever the propaganda broadsides meant to distract both media and nascent considerations in the national electorate.

Less than two weeks remain before the first of the Presidential debates and I wonder about that. Trump himself is acting irrationally and a minor agreement between Israel, the UAR and Bahrain can't eclipse the larger geopolitical distress emanating from the Saudis, Turkey, and Iran. The increasingly dubious attempts to prop up the American stock market as a sine qua non is beginning to experience a flight of capital from both technology and fossil fuel enterprises. Not a good sign because such institutional gestures inevitably impact much larger financial systems. Presidential stuff for sure and Trump and his cadre are simply inept in these matters.

I'm not just a worrywort. Plenty of commentary online and in the print media. The Scientific American has endorsed Biden - a first in the 175-year history of this intellectual presence in our lives. It becomes the mob versus the cognoscenti and these days, information is power. All the global players know this and Trump stands out as a dangerous fool at best. Our own military leadership are also "in the know" and have to live with their global counterparts whatever mischief is attempted
in our "civilian" life. Power brokers par excellence and U.S. Senators are not exempt from this unforgiving scrutiny.

So it goes. I have continuing unwelcome visitors in my upper respiratory system and that means irregular sleep and a need to stay abreast of my personal medical environment. That may well be affecting my judgment in these weighty matters, but my mind is clear enough for everyday use.